Construction of forecasting and planning system for shipbuilding enterprise activities

In modern conditions of high dynamism of the external environment, caused primarily by scientific and technological progress, it is important for shipbuilding enterprises to determined trends that will define the determinants of their sustainable development in the long term in order to ensure an increase in market share and competitiveness. In addition, it is important to build a multi-level planning system in the organization in conjunction with the generated forecasts. Relevance. The need to solve an important scientific problem of chronization of the preparation and compliance of the content of strategic, tactical and operational plans of the shipbuilding industry enterprise with the received forecasts regarding future changes in the external environment to create the foundation of its sustainable development in the long term. Aim. To develop methodological recommendations for the construction of an integrated system for forecasting and planning the activities of a shipbuilding organization to ensure its sustainable long-term economic growth. Methods. Systematic approach, methods of generalization, grouping, comparative analysis, the method of constructing a balanced BSC system of indicators, the SMART goal setting method and others. Results. The authors have summarized the criteria of goal setting at different levels of company management. They proposed the basic principles of forecasting and planning the activities of a shipbuilding organization. The paper demonstrates the interrelation of the forecasting system and multilevel planning with the information support of managerial decision-making and the level of aggregate risk. It is established, that the rates of economic growth, levels of sustainability and competitiveness of a shipbuilding enterprise are determined by the degree of interconnection and interdependence of the formed forecasts, strategic, tactical and operational plans of its activities. Implementation of the proposed system for forecasting and planning activity at domestic shipbuilding enterprises will minimize likelihood of risk of making irrational management decisions, in particular, in the field of pricing for shipbuilding products, and in general ensure the growth of their income, profits, investment attractiveness and market value. The obtained research results form the scientific basis for development of forecasting and planning methodology in the general management system of an organization.